critical thinking

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1. Introduction

Critical thinking is the ability to engage in reflective and independent

thinking, and being able to think clearly and rationally.

Critical thinking does not mean being argumentative or being critical of

others. Although critical thinking skills can be used in exposing fallacies

and bad reasoning, they can also be used to support other viewpoints, and

to cooperate with others in solving problems and acquiring knowledge.

Critical thinking is a general thinking skill that is useful for all sorts of

careers and professions. Clear and systematic thinking can improve the

comprehension and expression of ideas, so good critical thinking can also

enhance language and presentation skills. It is sometimes suggested that critical thinking is incompatible with

creativity. This is a misconception, as creativity is not just a matter of

coming up with new ideas. A creative person is someone who can

generate new ideas that are useful and relevant to the task at hand.

Critical thinking plays a crucial role in evaluating the usefulness of new

ideas, selecting the best ones and modifying them if necessary.

Critical thinking is also necessary for self-reflection. In order to live a

meaningful life and to structure our lives accordingly, we need to justify

and reflect on our values and decisions. Critical thinking provides the tools

for this process of self-evaluation.

This mini guide contains a brief discussion of the basics of critical thinking.

It is neither a comprehensive survey nor a self-contained textbook. The

aim is to highlight some of the more important concepts and principles of

critical thinking to give a general impression of the field. For further study,

readers can look up the books and online resources listed at the end.

2. Meaning

LITERAL MEANING is a property of linguistic expressions. The literal meaning of a sequence of words is determined by its grammatical properties and the meanings that are conventionally assigned to those words. The literal meaning of a statement should be distinguished from its conversational implicature - the information that is implicitly conveyed in a particular conversational context, distinct from the literal meaning of the statement.

For example, suppose we ask Lily whether she wants to go to the cinema and she replies, "I am very tired." Naturally we would infer that Lily does not want to go to the cinema. But this is not part of the literal meaning of what is said. Rather, the information that she does not want to go is inferred indirectly. Similarly, suppose we hear Lala says, "Po likes books". We might perhaps take Lala to be saying that Po likes to read. But this is at most the conversational implicature, and not part of the literal meaning of what is being said. It might turn out that Po hates reading and she likes books only because she regards them as good investment. But even if this is the case, Lala's assertion is still true. One important point illustrated by this example is that when we want to find out whether a statement is true, it is its literal meaning that we should consider, and not its conversational implicature. This is particularly important in the legal context. The content of a contract is typically given by the literal meaning of the terms of the contract, and if there is a dispute about the contract, ultimately it is settled by looking at the literal meaning of the terms, and not by what one or the other party thinks was implied implicitly.

Meaninglessness

In ordinary language the adjective "meaningless" is sometimes used rather

indiscriminately. Claims that are pointless or empty sometimes are also

described as "meaningless". For example, suppose Peter is asked

whether he will go to the party, and he replies "if I come, I will come."

Strictly speaking, this is an empty statement as it does not provide any

useful information as to whether Peter might come or not. But the

statement is perfectly grammatical and meaningful. To be accurate one

should not describe such statements as meaningless.

3. Definitions

Lack of clarity in meaning can hinder good reasoning and obstruct

effective communication. One way to make meaning clearer is to use

definitions. A definition is made up of two parts - a DEFINIENDUM and a

DEFINIEN. The definiendum is the term that is to be defined, whereas the

definien is the group of words or concepts used in the definition that is

supposed to have the same meaning as the definiendum. For example, in

defining "bachelor" to mean "an unmarried man", the word "bachelor" is

the definiendum, and "an unmarried man" is the definien. We might divide

definitions into four kinds:

Reportive definition

A REPORTIVE DEFINITIOn is sometimes also known as a lexical definition. It

reports the existing meaning of a term. This includes the "bachelor"

example above, or the definition of "prime number" as referring to any

integer greater than one and divisible only by one and itself. A reportive

definition should capture the correct usage of the term that is defined.

Stipulative definition

A STIPULATIVE DEFINITION is not used to explain the existing meaning of a

term. It is used to assign a new meaning to a term, whether or not the term

has already got a meaning. If the stipulative definition is accepted, then the

term is used in the new way that is prescribed. For example, suppose a

stipulative definition is proposed to define "MBA" to mean "married but

available". Accepting such a definition, we can then go about describing

other people as MBAs.

Precising definition

A PRECISING DEFINITION might be regarded as a combination of reportive

and stipulative definition. The aim of a precising definition is to make the

meaning of a term more precise for some purpose. For example, a bus

company might want to give discounts to elderly people. But simply

declaring that the elderly can pay a reduced fare will lead to many disputes, since it is not clear how old one should be in order to be an elderly person.

So one might define "an elderly person" to mean "any person of age 65 or

above". This is of course one among many possible definitions.

Similarly, précising definitions are very important in drawing up laws and

regulations. We might want to eliminate or punish sexual harassment, but

we need a good definition of sexual harassment in order that people know

what is appropriate and what is not. For example, a biology professor

giving an unwelcome surprise exam on human sexuality should better not

be counted as sexual harassment under any such definition.

Finally, précising definitions can also be used to resolve disputes that

involve some key concepts whose meanings might not be clear enough.

Suppose two people are arguing whether animals such as birds or apes

possess language. To resolve this dispute, we need to be more precise as

to what is meant by "language". If by "language" we refer to any system of

communication, then obviously birds and other animals do make use of

languages. On the other hand, "language" might be used in a different

sense, requiring a combinatorial syntax and semantics, allowing a user of

the language to communicate information about objects or situations

remote in time and space from the location of discourse. Used in such a

way, the communication systems of most animals would not qualify as

language.

Persuasive definition

A PERSUASIVE DEFINITION is any definition that attaches an emotive, positive

or derogatory meaning to a term where it has none. For example,

someone against abortion might define "abortion" as "the murder of an

innocent still-born person". This definition carries a negative connotation,

as the term "murder" suggests that abortion is wrongful killing, and it also

assumes that the aborted fetus is already a person. Such a definition is

surely not appropriate in a rational debate on the moral legitimacy of

abortion, even though it might be useful as a rhetorical tool.

Evaluating definitions

The criteria for evaluating definitions depend on the kind of definition we

are considering. With reportive definition, it is important that the proposeddefinition correctly captures the usage of the term that is defined. In

particular, this means that the definition should be neither too wide nor too

narrow.

A definition is TOO WIDE (or too broad) if the definien applies to things that

the definiendum does not apply to. For example, defining an airplane as a

machine that flies is too wide since helicopters are also flying machines

but they are not airplanes.

A definition is TOO NARROW if the definien fails to apply to things to which

the definiendum applies, e.g. defining a triangle as a plane figure with

three equal straight sides.

Notice that a definition may be both too wide and too narrow at the same

time. If you define vegetables as the edible leaves of any plant, the

definition is too narrow as it fails to include tomatoes and potatoes. On the

other hand, it is also too wide as tea leaves are edible but are not

vegetables.

The question of whether a definition is too broad or too narrow does not

arise with stipulative definitions, since the definition is not meant to capture

existing usage. But it is important that the definition should avoid circularity,

inconsistency and obscurity.

4. Necessary and sufficient conditions

The concepts of necessary and sufficient conditions help us understand

and explain the different kinds of connections between concepts, and how

different states of affairs are related to each other.

To say that X is a NECESSARY CONDITION for Y is to say that it is impossible

to have Y without X. In other words, the absence of X guarantees the

absence of Y. A necessary condition is sometimes also called "an essential

condition". Some examples :

. Having four sides is necessary for being a square.

. Being brave is a necessary condition for being a good soldier.

. Not being an even number is essential for being a prime number. To show that X is not a necessary condition for Y, we simply find a situation

where Y is present but X is not. Examples :

. Being rich is not necessary for being well-respected, since a

well-respected social activist might in fact be quite poor.

. Living on the land is not necessary for being a mammal. Whales are

mammals, but they live in the sea.

We invoke the notion of a necessary condition very often in our daily life,

even though we might be using different terms. For example, when we say

things like "life requires oxygen", this is equivalent to saying that the

presence of oxygen is a necessary condition for the existence of life.

A certain state of affairs might have more than one necessary condition.

For example, to be a good concert pianist, having good finger technique is

a necessary condition. But this is not enough. Another necessary condition

is being good at interpreting piano pieces.

Next, we turn to sufficient conditions. To say that X is a SUFFICIENT

CONDITION for Y is to say that the presence of X guarantees the presence

of Y. In other words, it is impossible to have X without Y. If X is present,

then Y must also be present. Again, some examples :

. Being a square is sufficient for having four sides.

. Being divisible by 4 is sufficient for being an even number.

To show that X is not sufficient for Y, we come up with cases where X is

present but Y is not. Examples :

. Loving someone is not sufficient for being loved. A very mean and

wicked person who loves someone might not be loved by anyone.

. Loyalty is not sufficient for honesty because one might have to lie in

order to protect the person one is loyal to.

Expressions such as "If X then Y", or "X is enough for Y", can also be

understood as saying that X is a sufficient condition for Y. Note that some

state of affairs can have more than one sufficient condition. Being blue is

sufficient for being colored, but of course being green, being red are alsosufficient for being colored.

Given any two conditions X and Y, there are four ways in which they might

be related to each other:

. X is necessary but not sufficient for Y.

. X is sufficient but not necessary for Y.

. X is both necessary and sufficient for Y. (or "jointly necessary and

sufficient")

. X is neither necessary nor sufficient for Y.

This classification is very useful when we want to clarify how two concepts

are related to each other. Here are some examples :

. Having four sides is necessary but not sufficient for being a square

(since a rectangle has four sides but it is not a square).

. Having a son is sufficient but not necessary for being a parent (a

parent can have only one daughter).

. Being an unmarried man is both necessary and sufficient for being a

bachelor.

. Being a tall person is neither necessary nor sufficient for being a

successful person.

Necessary and sufficient conditions are often very useful in explaining the

connections between abstract concepts. For example, in explaining the

nature of democracy we might say that the rule-of-law is necessary but not

sufficient for democracy.

5. Linguistic pitfalls

Linguistic pitfalls are misuses of language where language is used to

obscure, distort or make statements appear to be more informative or

profound than they actually are.

Ambiguity

There are different kinds of ambiguity. LEXICAL AMBIGUITY refers to cases

where a single term has more than one meaning in the language. Forexample, the word "deep" can mean profundity ("What you have said is

very deep."), or it can be used to describe physical depth ("This hole is

very deep"). Similarly for words like "young" (inexperienced or young of

age), "bank" (river bank or financial institution), etc.

REFERENTIAL AMBIGUITY arises when the context does not make it clear

what a pronoun or quantifier is referring to. For example, the following

statement does not make it clear who is hurt:

. "Ally hit Georgia and then she started bleeding." Who is bleeding?

Ally or Georgia, or a third party?

Many people like to make very general statements, such as "politicians are

corrupt". Literally, this statement implies that there is no politician who is

not corrupted. But of course we can think of many counterexamples to

such a claim. So the person who makes the statement might say "I don't

really mean each and every politician." But then who exactly are the

people referred to?

SYNTACTIC AMBIGUITY means having more than one meaning because there

is more than one way to interpret the grammatical structure. This can

happen even when it is clear what the meanings of the individual words

are. Consider the sentence "we shall be discussing violence on TV." It

might mean the discussion will be conducted during a television program,

or it might mean violence on TV is the topic to be discussed.

When dealing with ambiguous language we should ensure that the context

makes it clear to the audience what the correct interpretation should be.

When we encounter ambiguity, we might try to clarify meaning explicitly by

listing out all the different possible interpretations. This process of

removing ambiguity is known as "disambiguation". Naturally, avoiding

ambiguity applies only to situations where we want to communicate

precisely and accurately. In literary activities, ambiguity might actually be

desirable.

Vagueness

A term is vague if it has an imprecise boundary. As the sun sets the

surroundings become dark, but there is no sharp boundary when thesurroundings suddenly switch from being bright to being dark. So "dark"

and "bright" are vague terms.

"Tall" is also vague since there are cases where it is hard to say whether a

person is tall or not, but this indecision is not due to lack of knowledge

about that person's height. You might know exactly how tall that person is,

but still you cannot decide whether he is tall or not. This is because the

meaning of the term is not precise enough. Many terms in the language

are vague, e.g. "mountain", "clever", "cheap".

Notice that we should make a distinction between vagueness and

ambiguity. A word can be vague even though it is not ambiguous, and the

different meanings of an ambiguous term can be very precise indeed.

When we need to be precise and informative we should avoid vagueness.

Many students often like to ask questions such as :

. Is there going to be a lot of homework for this course?

. Is the final exam going to be difficult?

But of course words like "difficult" and "a lot" are vague. It is not clear how

these questions should be answered! Vague claims are also frequent in

horoscope predictions. Here is one:

. Be prepared for a change of direction this week as something crops

up.

Since it is not clear what counts as a change of direction (someone

blocking your way on the pavement so you can't walk in a straight line?),

one can easily find one event or another as "evidence" that confirms the

prediction. The same for this rather pointless prediction:

. This piece of news is going to affect the stock market to a certain

extent.

It would be a mistake to say that critical thinking requires that we eliminate

all vagueness. Vague terms can be useful in everyday life because often

we do not have to be too precise. How precise we should be depends of

course on the context. Incomplete Meaning

A term has an incomplete meaning if the property or relation it expresses

depends on some further parameter to be specified by the context, either

explicitly or implicitly. This includes terms such as "useful", "important",

"similar" and "better". Practically all objects are useful and important only

in some respects but not others. For example, is love more important than

money? Well, it depends. If you are starving to death, then money is more

important. But if you are looking for someone to share your life, then love is

perhaps better.

So just saying that something is useful or important is empty unless it is

made clear in what way it is so. Here are two sample statements whose

meanings are not complete:

. "Will this year's final exam be similar to the one last year?"

. "It is better to be beautiful than to be good. But . . . it is better to be

good than to be ugly." - Oscar Wilde (1854 - 1900)

Distortion

Distortion is a matter of using words with inappropriate semantic

associations, or to use words in a way that deviates from its standard

meaning without clear indications.

The use of inappropriate emotive expressions is one typical example of

distortion. Many expressions in the language are not purely descriptive but

carry positive or negative connotations. Consider again the association of

abortion with murder. Suppose someone argues, "abortion is the murder of

an unwanted child and so should not be allowed". The word "murder"

carries the connotation that the act is wrong, since murders are usually

taken to be wrongful killings. As an argument against abortion it therefore

begs the question as it presupposes that abortion is wrong, which is

exactly what is to be proven. However, someone who is not careful and

fails to detect the inappropriate negative connotation might easily be

swayed by the argument.

ReificationThe word "reify" came from the Latin word "res", which means thing.

Reification is treating an abstract idea or property as if it were a concrete

physical object. For example, one slogan on a popular TV programme

says "The truth is out there." This treats truth as if it were a physical object

that can either be in here or out there somewhere. But truth is an abstract

property of claims and theories and is not located anywhere. So this is an

example of reification. Of course, we know roughly what the intended

meaning is. What is meant is probably something like "the truth about [a

certain issue] is something that we can discover if we try hard enough."

For a different example, consider the popular claim that "History is just." A

person or a system of rules or laws can be just or unjust, but justice is not

really a property of history, taken as a body of facts about what has

happened in the past. But again we can guess what the speaker might

have in mind when the statement is made. Perhaps the intended meaning

is something like "in time people will make the correct and fair opinion on

the matter under discussion."

The two examples here show that reification in itself need not be

objectionable. It increases dramatic impact and is often used in poetry and

metaphors. However, if our purpose is to convey information clearly and

simply, then reification should perhaps be avoided. If a claim that involves

reification constitutes a meaningful and informative claim, then it can be

expressed more clearly in simpler language without using reification.

When it is difficult if not impossible to carry out this translation, this is a

good sign that the original statement does not actually have a clear

meaning. So, in general, unless you want dramatic impact, avoid using

reification. But if you have to, make sure you know what you really intend

to say.

Category mistakes

This is the mistake of ascribing a property to some object which logically it

cannot possess, or more generally, misrepresenting the category to which

something belongs. Consider the famous sentence "colourless green

ideas sleep furiously". This sentence contains a number of category

mistakes, since green ideas cannot be said to be colorless, and ideas are

not the kind of things that can sleep. Some years ago, the HKU Student

Law Society puts up a slogan that says "we are the law". This is a categorymistake as laws are regulations and rules, and people are not. Of course,

sometimes people do say "I am the law" to mean they are the boss and

that everyone should obey whatever they command. But this goes against

the idea of justice and rule-of-law which are central to modern democratic

communities. Law students should know better than proclaim slogans like

that.

6. Basic logical concepts

Consistency

Two (or more) statements are inconsistent with each other when it is

logically impossible for all of them to be true at the same time. For

example, "The earth is flat", and "The earth is spherical" are inconsistent

statements since nothing can be both flat and spherical. On the other hand,

if you have any two statements that are both true, they are certainly

consistent.

Entailment

A sentence X entails Y if Y follows logically from X. In other words, if X is

true then Y must also be true, e.g. "30 people have died in the riots" entails

"more than 20 people died in the riots", but not vice-versa.

If X entails Y and we find out that Y is false, then we should conclude that

X is also false. But of course, if X entails Y and we find out that X is false, it

does not follow that Y is also false.

If X entails Y but Y does not entail X, then we say that X is a stronger claim

than Y (or "Y is weaker than X"). For example, "all birds can fly" is stronger

than "most birds can fly", which is still stronger than "some birds can fly".

A stronger claim is of course more likely to be wrong. To use a typical

example, suppose we want to praise X but are not sure whether X is the

best or not, we might use the weaker claim "X is one of the best" rather

than the stronger "X is the best". So we need not be accused of speaking

falsely even if it turns out that X is not the best. Logical Equivalence

If two statements entail each other then they are logically equivalent. For

example, "everyone is ill" is equivalent to "nobody is not ill", and "cheap

things are no good" is actually equivalent to "good things are not cheap". If

two statements are logically equivalent, then necessarily they must always

have the same truth value.

7. Arguments

In ordinary usage, the word "argument" is often used to refer to a heated

dispute between two or more parties. But in logic and critical thinking, the

term has a different meaning. Here, an argument is taken to be a list of

statements, one of which is the CONCLUSION and the others are the

PREMISES or ASSUMPTIONS of the argument. To give an argument is to

provide a set of premises as reasons for accepting the conclusion. The

ability to construct, identify and evaluate arguments is a crucial part of

critical thinking.

Here is an example of a short argument made up of three statements. The

first two statements are the premises, and the last one is the conclusion:

. Every duck can swim.

. Donald is a duck.

. Donald can swim.

Arguments in real life often are not presented in such a neat manner, with

the premises and conclusions clearly laid out. So how do we identify them?

There are no easy mechanical rules, and we usually have to rely on the

context in order to determine which are the premises and the conclusions.

But sometimes the job can be made easier by the presence of certain

premise or conclusion indicators. For example, if a person makes a

statement, and then adds "this is because ...", then it is quite likely that the

first statement is presented as a conclusion, supported by the statements

that come afterwards. Words like "after all", "suppose" and "since" are also

often used to precede premises, though obviously not in cases like "I have

been here since noon". Conclusions, on the other hand, are often

preceded by words like "therefore", "so", "it follows that". However, sometimes the conclusion of an argument might not be explicitly written

out. For example it might be expressed by a rhetorical question:

. How can you believe that corruption is acceptable? It is neither fair nor

legal!

We might reconstruct the argument explicitly as follows:

. Corruption is not fair and it is not legal.

. So, corruption is not acceptable.

Good reading skills include the ability to reconstruct the arguments that

are presented informally, and good writing and presentation skills include

the ability to present arguments systematically and clearly.

8. Validity and soundness

The idea of a VALID ARGUMENT is one of the most important concepts in

critical thinking, so you should make sure you fully understand this topic.

Basically, a valid argument is one where the premises entail the

conclusion. In other words, a valid argument is one where it is necessarily

the case that the conclusion is true if the premises are all true. So here is a

valid argument:

. Barbie is over 90 years old. So Barbie is over 20 years old.

Obviously, if the premise is true, there is no way that the conclusion will be

false. So the argument is indeed valid. Notice that the validity of the

argument does not depend on whether the premise is in fact true. Even if

Barbie is actually only 10 years old, the argument is still valid. Validity only

requires that when the premises are true, so is the conclusion. It depends

only on the logical connection between the premises and the conclusion. It

does not depend on their actual truth or falsity. A valid argument can have

false premises and a false conclusion. A valid argument can also have a

false premise but a true conclusion, as when Barbie is 30 years old.

This, however, is not a valid argument. It is INVALID: Barbie is over 20 years old. So Barbie is over 90 years old.

The argument is not valid because it is possible that the premise is true

and the conclusion is false, as when Barbie is 30 years old, or 80 years old.

Call these situations COUNTEREXAMPLES to the argument. Basically, we are

defining a valid argument as an argument with no possible

counterexamples. To sharpen your skills in evaluating arguments, it is

important that you are able to discover and construct counterexamples.

Being able to provide counterexamples can help you convince other

people that a certain argument is mistaken.

Notice that an invalid argument can have true premises and a true

conclusion. The invalid argument above is an example if Barbie is 99

years old. Remember that true premises and a true conclusion are not

sufficient for validity, because the logical connection between them is

missing.

Notice that we are making a distinction between truth and validity.

Statements (the premises and the conclusion) can be true or false, but

they are not valid or invalid. Arguments might be valid or invalid, but they

should never be described as true or false.

Soundness

Given a valid argument, all we know is that if the premises are true, so is

the conclusion. But validity does not tell us whether the premises or the

conclusion are true or not. If an argument is valid, and all the premises are

true, then it is called a SOUND argument. Of course, it follows from such a

definition that a sound argument must also have a true conclusion.

In discussion, it would be nice if we can provide sound arguments to

support an opinion. This means showing that our argument is valid, and

that the premises are all true. Anyone who disagree would have to show

that our premises are not all true, or the argument is not valid, or both. This

method of carrying out a rational discussion is something we should follow

if we want to improve our critical thinking.

Hidden assumptionsWhen people give arguments sometimes certain assumptions are left

implicit. Example :

. Homosexuality is wrong because it is unnatural.

This argument as it stands is not valid. Someone who gives such an

argument presumably has in mind the hidden assumption that whatever

that is unnatural is wrong. It is only when this assumption is added that the

argument becomes valid.

Once this is pointed out, we can ask whether it is justified. We might argue

for example, that there are plenty of things that are "unnatural" but are not

usually regarded as wrong (e.g. playing video games, having medical

operations, contraception). As this example illustrates, pointing out the

hidden assumption in an argument can help resolve or clarify the issues

involved in a dispute.

In everyday life, the arguments we normally encounter are often

arguments where important assumptions are not made explicit. It is an

important part of critical thinking that we should be able to identify such

hidden assumptions or implicit assumptions. The way to do this is to see

what additional assumptions are needed to add to an argument to make it

valid.

9. Patterns of valid arguments

Obviously valid arguments play a very important role in reasoning,

because if we start with true assumptions, and use only valid arguments to

establish new conclusions, then our conclusions must also be true. But

how do we determine whether an argument is valid? This is where formal

logic comes in. By using special symbols we can describe patterns of valid

argument, and formulate rules for evaluating the validity of an argument.

Below we introduce a few patterns of valid arguments. You should make

sure that you can recognize these patterns and make use of them in

reasoning.

Modus ponensConsider the following arguments :

. If this object is made of copper, it will conduct electricity. This object is

made of copper, so it will conduct electricity.

. If there is no largest prime number, then 510511 is not the largest

prime number. There is no largest prime number. Therefore 510511 is

not the largest prime number.

. If Lam is a Buddhist then he should not eat pork. Lam is a Buddhist.

Therefore Lam should not eat pork.

These three arguments are of course valid. Furthermore you probably

notice that they are very similar to each other. What is common between

them is that they have the same structure or form:

. If P then Q. P. Therefore Q.

Here, the letters P and Q are called sentence letters. They are used to

translate or represent statements. By replacing P and Q with appropriate

sentences, we can generate the original three valid arguments. This

shows that the three arguments have a common form. It is also in virtue of

this form that the arguments are valid, for we can see that any argument of

the same form is a valid argument. Because this particular pattern of

argument is quite common, it has been given a name. It is known as

MODUS PONENS.

However, don't confuse modus ponens with the following form of argument,

which is not valid!

. Affirming the consequent - If P then Q. Q. Therefore, P.

Giving arguments of this form is a fallacy - making a mistake of reasoning.

This particular mistake is known as affirming the consequent.

. If Jane lives in London then Jane lives in England. Jane lives in

England. Therefore Jane lives in London.

. If Bing has gone shopping then Daniel will be unhappy. Daniel is

unhappy. So Bing has gone shopping.

See if you can come up with situations where the premises of thesearguments are true but the conclusions false. They would show that the

arguments are not valid.

Here are some other patterns of valid argument :

Modus tollens

. If P then Q. Not-Q. Therefore, not-P.

Here, "not-Q" simply means the denial of Q. So if Q means "Today is hot.",

then "not-Q" can be used to translate "It is not the case that today is hot",

or "Today is not hot."

. If Norah Jones is coming to Hong Kong today, the newspapers would

have reported it. But there are no such reports in the newspapers, so

Norah Jones is not coming to Hong Kong today.

But do distinguish modus tollens from the following fallacious pattern of

argument :

. Denying the antecedent - If P then Q, not-P. Therefore, not-Q.

. If Elsie is competent, she will get an important job. But Elsie is not

competent. So she will not get an important job.

Hypothetical syllogism

. If P then Q, If Q then R. Therefore, if P then R.

. If God created the universe then the universe will be perfect. If the

universe is perfect then there will be no evil. So if God created the

universe there will be no evil.

Disjunctive syllogism

. P or Q. Not-P. Therefore, Q ; P or Q, Not-Q. Therefore, P.

. Either the government brings about more sensible educational reforms,

or the only good schools left will be private ones for rich kids. Thegovernment is not going to carry out sensible educational reforms. So

the only good schools left will be private ones for rich kids.

Dilemma

. P or Q. If P then R. If Q then S. Therefore, R or S.

When R is the same as S, we have a simpler form : P or Q. If P then R. If Q

then R. Therefore, R.

. Either we increase the tax rate or we don't. If we do, the people will be

unhappy. If we don't, the people will also be unhappy. (Because the

government will not have enough money to provide for public services.)

So the people are going to be unhappy anyway.

Arguing by Reductio ad Absurdum

The Latin name here simply means "reduced to absurdity". Here is the

method to follow if you want to prove that a certain statement S is false:

. First assume that S is true.

. From the assumption that it is true, prove that it would lead to a

contradiction or some other claim that is false or absurd.

. Conclude that S must be false.

Those of you who can spot connections quickly might notice that this is

none other than an application of modus tollens. As an example, suppose

someone claims that the right to life is absolute and that it is always wrong

to kill a life, no matter what the situation is. Now assume that this is true.

We would then have to conclude that killing for self-defense is also wrong.

But surely this is not correct. If someone threatens your life and the only

way to save yourself is to kill the attacker, then most people would agree

that this is permissible, and it is recognized as such under the law. Since

the original claim leads to an unacceptable consequence, we should

conclude that the right to life is not absolute.

Other Patterns

There are of course many other patterns of deductively valid arguments. Some are too obvious to mention, e.g.

. P and Q. Therefore Q.

It is understandable that you might not remember the names of all these

patterns. What is important is that you can recognize these argument

patterns when you come across them in everyday life, and that you can

construct instances of these patterns.

10. Causation

The most important thing to remember about causation is probably the

advice that one should not confuse correlation with causation.

Suppose events of type A are positively correlated with events of type B.

One common mistake in causal reasoning is to jump to the conclusion that

A is therefore the cause of B. This would be a premature inference

because there are other alternative explanations which should be ruled out

first:

The order of causation is reversed

Suppose we find out that people who use electronic diaries and computer

address books tend to have worse memory. It is natural to think that

deterioration of memory is caused by over-reliance on computer devices.

But it might be the other way round. Perhaps there is such a correlation

because people who do not have good memories (for genetic or other

reasons) are more likely to rely on such devices.

The correlation events have a common cause

Suppose a study shows that married couples who have sex more often are

less likely to get divorce. Should one therefore have more sex in order to

avoid divorce? Before drawing such a conclusion, we have to consider the

possibility that there might be a common cause underlying the correlated

events. In this particular case, the reason for the correlation is perhaps just

that if two persons love each other, they are more likely to have sex and

less likely to separate. So love is the common cause behind the correlatedevents. Simply having more sex might not make divorce less likely.

Perhaps it has the opposite effect!

The correlation is a coincidence

A correlation provides evidence for causation only if the correlation is

robust and can be observed repeatedly. Just because I have twice lost

something on a black Friday does not warrant the conclusion that

something spooky is at work. Similarly, a man who recovers from

indigestion whenever he takes a certain Chinese medicine should not

jump to the conclusion that the medicine causes him to get well. Perhaps

his indigestion problems are relatively minor and they go away quickly

whatever he does. So the apparent improvement is just a coincidence and

the medicine does not provide any benefit at all. To see whether the

medicine is really effective, the man should see what happens when he

does not take the medicine, and whether varying the amount of medicine

might have differential effects.

11. Morality

Morality is about what is right or wrong, and what should or should not be

done, and what rights or duties we might have. As such morality is

normative and not purely descriptive. Descriptive statements describe

facts without any value judgments. The claim that "Your nose is longer

than your ear" is a descriptive claim. No value judgment is involved since

the statement says nothing as to whether what is described is good or bad.

In contrast, the following claims are normative claims:

. A democratic society should not enact unjust laws.

. Abortion is permissible under certain situations.

. We should not discriminate against homosexuals.

Notice that descriptive claims about moral beliefs in themselves are not

normative. The statement "Peter thinks that abortion is wrong" is a

descriptive statement about one of Peter's beliefs. There is not judgment

of whether Peter is right or wrong so this is not a normative claim.

Given that descriptive statements do not involve any moral judgments, weshould be careful of arguments that rely on purely descriptive assumptions

to derive a normative conclusion. An example is to argue that cloning is

wrong because it is unnatural. What counts as unnatural is not very clear,

but if it is a matter of whether something occurs naturally in the

environment, then the claim that something is or is not natural is a

descriptive claim, and by themselves they have no normative

consequences. This can be done only when normative assumptions like

"unnatural things are wrong" are added.

Similarly, many people often argue that we ought to be selfish, or that

animals can be used for food because this is what nature is like, or that

evolution is a matter of survival of the fittest. Again these arguments jump

from purely descriptive claims to normative conclusions. Just because

something happened quite a lot does not mean that it should be done.

Some animals kill the weak and the old, or leave them to die miserably, but

this does not mean we should do the same thing. To infer a normative

claim, you need to make assumptions about values or about what is right

and wrong. It is a mistake to try to derive normative claims solely on the

basis of descriptive claims. Such a mistake is known as THE NATURALISTIC

FALLACY.

12. Fallacies

FALLACIES are mistakes of reasoning, as opposed to making mistakes that

are of a factual nature. If I counted twenty people in the room when there

were in fact twenty-one, then I made a factual mistake. On the other hand,

if I believe that there are round squares, I am believing something that is

inconsistent. This is a mistake of reasoning, and a fallacy, since I should

not have believed something inconsistent if my reasoning is good.

Broadly speaking, we might divide fallacies into four kinds :

. Fallacies of inconsistency are cases where something inconsistent

or self-defeating has been proposed or accepted, as in believing in

the existence of round squares.

. Next we have the fallacy of inappropriate presuppositions. These

are cases where we have an assumption or a question

presupposing something that is not reasonable to accept in therelevant conversational context. Asking whether human nature is

good or evil presupposes that there is such a thing as human

nature and that it must be either good or bad. But these

assumptions might not be correct and if no adequate justification is

offered then the question might not be an appropriate one.

. Fallacies of relevance are cases where an irrelevant assumption is

used to defend a conclusion. For example, suppose a student failed

a course and asked the teacher to give him a pass instead,

because "otherwise I would not be able to find a good job". This is

an example of the fallacy of irrelevance since grades should be

given on the basis of performance only.

. Fallacies of insufficiency are cases where the evidence supporting

a conclusion is insufficient or weak. The naturalistic fallacy is one

example.

13. Going forward

What should we do to improve our critical thinking skills? Critical thinking is

a skill. Like the acquisition of many other skills, there are three main

factors involved in learning critical thinking : theory, practice, and attitude.

First, we need to learn the principles of critical thinking, such as some

basic logic. We also need to know what typical fallacies people make in

order to avoid them. We have summarized some of the main principles in

this little booklet. However, merely knowing the principles that distinguish

good and bad reasoning is not enough. One might acquire an

understanding of the theories of good tennis, and yet fail to apply and

make use of such theories in actual game play. Similarly, to improve critical

thinking skills it is necessary to develop the ability to internalize the

principles one have learnt in normal reasoning, and to develop the

disposition and ability and apply such principles in daily life. But persistent

practice can bring about improvements only if one has the right kind of

motivation and attitude. Students who like to be spoon-fed and dislike

challenges and having to find things out for themselves are not going to

improve their own thinking. To improve one's thinking one must recognize

that the importance of reflecting on the reasons for belief and action. One

must also be willing to engage in debate, to admit having made mistakes,

to break old habits, and to deal with linguistic complexities and abstract concepts.

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